The Effect Of Coal Production, International Prices, And Gdp On The Volume Of Indonesia’s Coal Exports

Abstract

This study aims to examine the impact of coal production, international prices, and the average GDP of India and China on the volume of Indonesian coal exports for the period 2005–2024. The data used consists of secondary time-series data for the 2005–2024 period, sourced from the Indonesian Central Statistics Agency (BPS), the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources, and the World Bank Group. Data analysis was conducted using multiple linear regression with the assistance of Eviews 10 software. The results of the study indicate that coal production has a positive and significant effect on the volume of Indonesia’s coal exports during the study period. International prices were found to have a positive and significant effect on the volume of Indonesia’s coal exports. The average GDP of India and China was also found to have a positive and significant effect on the volume of Indonesia’s coal exports. A coefficient of determination of 0.914913 indicates that the independent variables in this model explain 91.49% of the variation in the dependent variable.